Baseball Prop Edge: weather, Pitch DNA and AI models

See you on Opening Day

Daily picks for hits, total bases and home runs are back when the 2027 season starts. Every pick from last season is still up, graded.

134days until Opening Day, March 25, 2027
1+ HitTop 3 picks, 55–25 68.8%
2+ Total BasesTop 3 picks, 33–49 40.2%
Home RunTop 3 picks, 9–69 11.5%

Last 30 graded slates. Only confirmed starters with a plate appearance count.

How a slate looks

The top hitter in each market from the last slate, Wed, Oct 28.

1+ Hit1st of 22
William Contreras
MIL @ TB facing Drew Rasmussen
64%chance of a hit
B

Working for him: size of the pitcher's track record, pitcher's fastball usage and pitch DNA matchup fit.

Full breakdown
2+ Total Bases1st of 22
William Contreras
MIL @ TB facing Drew Rasmussen
40%chance of 2+ total bases
Lean

Working for him: size of the pitcher's track record, pitcher's fastball usage and air pressure.

Full breakdown
Home Run1st of 22
William Contreras
MIL @ TB facing Drew Rasmussen
20%chance of a homer
B+

Working for him: size of the pitcher's track record and home runs (last 30 games).

Against him: ballpark home-run factor.

Full breakdown

Every hitter

Free accounts see the top three in each market.

1
William Contreras
MIL @ TB facing Drew Rasmussen
64%
B
1.05
2+ TBLean
HRB+
☆
2
Jackson Chourio
MIL @ TB facing Drew Rasmussen
64%
B
1.15
2+ TBLean
HRB+
☆
3
Yandy Díaz
TB vs MIL facing Jacob Misiorowski
64%
B
1.12
2+ TBLean
HRB+
☆
19 more hitters below the cut

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A grade needs both a high chance and a high rank on today's slate. Nothing here is a lock. Here's how the picks have actually done.